St. Louis Blues at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-11-26 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NJD: 62.1%

STL: 37.9%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.25

STL: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Stat	NJD	STL
Season SV%	0.884	0.869
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.32	3.56

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	23	21	2	91.3%	2.10	0	0.10
STL	Jordan Binnington	29	26	3	89.7%	2.30	1	-0.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs STL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	STL 1 - 3 NJD	NJD	STL
2025-11-26	NJD 3 - 2 STL	NJD	NJD
2024-12-17	STL 1 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-11-27	NJD 0 - 3 STL	STL	NJD
2024-03-07	NJD 4 - 1 STL	NJD	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	19	1	1.28
1	STL	9	0	0.67
2	NJD	11	0	0.45
2	STL	13	0	0.50
3	NJD	10	0	0.29
3	STL	12	0	0.93
4	NJD	3	0	0.28
4	STL	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8