Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-11-26 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 56.7%

DAL: 43.3%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.96

DAL: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • SEA at home vs DAL: 0-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	DAL 4 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-11-26	SEA 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	SEA
2025-11-09	DAL 2 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-03-31	SEA 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	SEA
2025-03-29	SEA 1 - 5 DAL	DAL	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	14	1	1.20
1	DAL	12	3	1.46
2	SEA	12	0	0.57
2	DAL	11	2	0.93
3	SEA	13	0	0.57
3	DAL	7	0	0.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.0 - 2.8