New Jersey Devils at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2025-11-28 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 0 - 5 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 52.2%

NJD: 47.8%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.61

NJD: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • BUF at home vs NJD: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	NJD 1 - 2 BUF	BUF	NJD
2025-12-21	NJD 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	NJD
2025-11-28	BUF 0 - 5 NJD	NJD	BUF
2025-02-02	BUF 4 - 3 NJD	BUF	NJD
2024-10-05	NJD 3 - 1 BUF	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	13	0	0.60
1	NJD	11	1	0.68
2	BUF	25	0	1.24
2	NJD	10	1	0.89
3	BUF	26	3	1.85
3	NJD	8	0	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 0 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.6 - 3.3