New Jersey Devils at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2025-11-28 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 0 - 5 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 60.6%
NJD: 39.4%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.25
NJD: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | BUF | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.934 | 0.899 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.783 | — |
| GAA | 2.82 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • BUF at home vs NJD: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | NJD 1 - 2 BUF | BUF | NJD |
| 2025-12-21 | NJD 1 - 3 BUF | BUF | NJD |
| 2025-11-28 | BUF 0 - 5 NJD | NJD | BUF |
| 2025-02-02 | BUF 4 - 3 NJD | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-10-05 | NJD 3 - 1 BUF | NJD | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:07 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 07:45 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 01:39 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 05:22 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 16:49 | NJD | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 0 - 5 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9