FLA vs CGY - 2025-11-28
2025-11-28 • Amerant Bank Arena
FLA 3 - 5 CGY
🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 68.8%
CGY: 31.2%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.43
CGY: 2.71
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 19-12-1 | 0.881 SV% | 2.90 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 14-18-2 | 0.897 SV% | 2.97 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:54 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 02:58 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 05:35 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 10:41 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 00:55 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 18:44 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 11:54 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 18:57 | CGY | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
FLA 3 - 5 CGY
Expected: 3.4 - 2.7