VGK vs MTL - 2025-11-28
2025-11-28 • T-Mobile Arena
VGK 1 - 4 MTL
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 51.2%
MTL: 48.8%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.24
MTL: 3.06
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 13-4-5 | 0.895 SV% | 2.49 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 14-5-3 | 0.888 SV% | 3.01 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:30 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 02:04 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 03:36 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 15:16 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:03 | MTL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
VGK 1 - 4 MTL
Expected: 3.2 - 3.1