Winnipeg Jets at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-11-28 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

CAR: 78.4%

WPG: 21.6%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.23

WPG: 2.60

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs WPG: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-28	CAR 5 - 1 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-11-21	WPG 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-09	CAR 4 - 2 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-02-04	WPG 3 - 0 CAR	WPG	CAR
2024-03-02	CAR 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	1	1.53
1	WPG	8	1	0.72
2	CAR	12	0	0.47
2	WPG	6	0	0.37
3	CAR	22	2	1.65
3	WPG	10	0	0.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 78.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 4.2 - 2.6