Montreal Canadiens at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-11-29 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 7 - 2 Montreal Canadiens
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 66.5%
MTL: 33.5%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.00
MTL: 2.61
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 46%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
| Stat | COL | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.903 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.750 | 0.846 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • COL at home vs MTL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | MTL 7 - 3 COL | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-11-29 | COL 7 - 2 MTL | COL | COL |
| 2025-03-22 | MTL 4 - 5 COL | COL | MTL |
| 2025-01-04 | COL 1 - 2 MTL | MTL | COL |
| 2024-03-26 | COL 1 - 2 MTL | MTL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:25 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 07:32 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 19:05 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 08:27 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 03:55 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 00:50 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 06:52 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 05:10 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 02:51 | COL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 66.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 7 - 2 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.0 - 2.6