Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-11-29 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 0 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 43.8%

EDM: 56.2%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.55

EDM: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Stat	SEA	EDM
Season SV%	0.903	0.896
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.77	2.81

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	25	21	4	84.0%	2.37	1	-1.63
EDM	Stuart Skinner	26	26	0	100.0%	2.64	0	2.64

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • SEA at home vs EDM: 3-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-03	EDM 3 - 1 SEA	EDM	SEA
2026-03-31	EDM 3 - 0 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-12-04	EDM 9 - 4 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-11-29	SEA 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-25	SEA 3 - 2 EDM	SEA	SEA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	17	0	1.10
1	EDM	18	0	0.73
2	SEA	9	0	0.63
2	EDM	13	1	1.26
3	SEA	16	0	0.91
3	EDM	9	0	0.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown