Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2025-11-29 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 3 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers
🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 63.0%
PHI: 37.0%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.63
PHI: 2.61
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | NJD | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.899 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.871 | 0.910 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NJD at home vs PHI: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | NJD 3 - 5 PHI | PHI | NJD |
| 2025-11-22 | PHI 6 - 3 NJD | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-03-09 | PHI 1 - 3 NJD | NJD | PHI |
| 2025-01-29 | NJD 5 - 0 PHI | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-01-27 | PHI 4 - 2 NJD | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:18 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 12:09 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 00:53 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 03:16 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 13:03 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 19:33 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 06:28 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:11 | PHI | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 3 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.6 - 2.6