MIN vs BUF - 2025-11-29
2025-11-29 • Grand Casino Arena
MIN 2 - 3 BUF
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 51.2%
BUF: 48.8%
Expected Goals
MIN: 2.89
BUF: 2.74
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 48%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 14-9-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.53 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:37 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 12:42 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 14:05 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 06:01 | MIN | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | MIN | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | MIN | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | MIN | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | MIN | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | MIN | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
MIN 2 - 3 BUF
Expected: 2.9 - 2.7