Washington Capitals at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-11-30 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 1 - 4 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

NYI: 46.3%

WSH: 53.7%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.95

WSH: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NYI at home vs WSH: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	WSH 4 - 1 NYI	WSH	WSH
2025-11-30	NYI 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-10-31	WSH 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	WSH
2025-10-11	NYI 2 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-04-15	NYI 1 - 3 WSH	WSH	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	14	2	1.24
1	WSH	13	0	0.39
2	NYI	23	1	1.29
2	WSH	12	1	0.82
3	NYI	11	3	1.36
3	WSH	11	5	2.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 1 - 4 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1