Anaheim Ducks at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-11-30 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 5 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 48.1%

ANA: 51.9%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.27

ANA: 3.36

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

ANA

Petr Mrazek - 3-4-0 | 0.865 SV% | 3.78 GAA

Stat	CHI	ANA
Season SV%	0.909	0.865
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.63	3.78

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	26	23	3	88.5%	2.39	1	-0.61
ANA	Petr Mrazek	18	13	5	72.2%	3.98	4	-1.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • CHI at home vs ANA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-07	ANA 7 - 1 CHI	ANA	ANA
2025-11-30	CHI 5 - 3 ANA	CHI	ANA
2025-10-19	CHI 2 - 1 ANA	CHI	ANA
2025-03-01	ANA 3 - 6 CHI	CHI	ANA
2024-11-19	CHI 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	CHI

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	10	1	0.76
1	ANA	13	1	0.86
2	CHI	14	0	0.96
2	ANA	12	0	0.93
3	CHI	14	3	2.26
3	ANA	15	0	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown