Winnipeg Jets at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2025-12-01 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 5 - 1 Winnipeg Jets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 60.5%
WPG: 39.5%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.32
WPG: 2.74
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | BUF | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.934 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BUF at home vs WPG: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 | WPG 4 - 1 BUF | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-12-01 | BUF 5 - 1 WPG | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-03-23 | WPG 3 - 5 BUF | BUF | WPG |
| 2024-12-05 | BUF 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | BUF |
| 2024-03-03 | BUF 2 - 5 WPG | WPG | BUF |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:54 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 03:01 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 02:46 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 12:49 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 11:26 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 00:41 | BUF | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 5 - 1 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.3 - 2.7