Winnipeg Jets at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2025-12-01 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 5 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

BUF: 61.3%

WPG: 38.7%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.30

WPG: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • BUF at home vs WPG: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-05	WPG 4 - 1 BUF	WPG	BUF
2025-12-01	BUF 5 - 1 WPG	BUF	BUF
2025-03-23	WPG 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	WPG
2024-12-05	BUF 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	BUF
2024-03-03	BUF 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	17	1	1.58
1	WPG	16	0	0.66
2	BUF	10	0	0.69
2	WPG	9	0	0.66
3	BUF	12	0	0.85
3	WPG	11	0	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 5 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9