Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-12-01 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 1 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 60.3%
ANA: 39.7%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.71
ANA: 3.04
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 48%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
| Stat | STL | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.600 | — |
| GAA | 3.56 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 43% • STL at home vs ANA: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 | STL 1 - 4 ANA | ANA | STL |
| 2025-03-16 | STL 7 - 2 ANA | STL | STL |
| 2025-03-07 | ANA 3 - 4 STL | STL | ANA |
| 2025-01-09 | STL 6 - 2 ANA | STL | STL |
| 2024-04-07 | ANA 5 - 6 STL | STL | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:24 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 06:53 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 06:33 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 17:23 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 05:58 | ANA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 1 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 2.7 - 3.0