Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-12-01 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 1 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 51.6%
ANA: 48.4%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.15
ANA: 3.30
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
| Stat | STL | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.917 | 0.840 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.957 | 0.793 |
| GAA | 2.87 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • STL at home vs ANA: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | ANA 2 - 6 STL | STL | ANA |
| 2026-03-08 | ANA 0 - 4 STL | STL | ANA |
| 2025-12-01 | STL 1 - 4 ANA | ANA | STL |
| 2025-03-16 | STL 7 - 2 ANA | STL | STL |
| 2025-03-07 | ANA 3 - 4 STL | STL | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:33 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 06:53 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 10:24 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 05:58 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 17:23 | ANA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 1 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.1 - 3.3
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