Utah Hockey Club at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2025-12-01 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 6 - 3 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Win (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 38.8%
UTA: 61.2%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.88
UTA: 2.66
Total Goals
Median: 4.7
Over 5.5: 34%
Over 6.5: 23%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | SJS | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.878 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.883 | 0.800 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs UTA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 | SJS 6 - 3 UTA | SJS | UTA |
| 2025-11-18 | SJS 3 - 2 UTA | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-10-17 | UTA 6 - 3 SJS | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-01-10 | UTA 2 - 1 SJS | UTA | UTA |
| 2024-12-14 | SJS 3 - 4 UTA | UTA | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:41 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 07:58 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 09:06 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 12:59 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 16:00 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 06:16 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 07:25 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 09:09 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 06:30 | SJS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 6 - 3 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 2.9 - 2.7
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