Dallas Stars at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2025-12-02 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 3 - 2 Dallas Stars (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 52.2%
DAL: 47.8%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.08
DAL: 3.18
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | NYR | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.916 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.932 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NYR at home vs DAL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | DAL 2 - 0 NYR | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-12-02 | NYR 3 - 2 DAL | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-01-07 | NYR 4 - 5 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-12-20 | DAL 1 - 3 NYR | NYR | DAL |
| 2024-02-20 | NYR 3 - 1 DAL | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:51 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 09:04 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 09:32 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 17:47 | NYR | Goal |
| 4 | 01:09 | NYR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 3 - 2 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.1 - 3.2
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