Dallas Stars at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2025-12-02 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 3 - 2 Dallas Stars (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 62.1%
DAL: 37.9%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.47
DAL: 3.51
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 53%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | NYR | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.923 | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • NYR at home vs DAL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-02 | NYR 3 - 2 DAL | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-01-07 | NYR 4 - 5 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-12-20 | DAL 1 - 3 NYR | NYR | DAL |
| 2024-02-20 | NYR 3 - 1 DAL | NYR | NYR |
| 2023-11-20 | DAL 6 - 3 NYR | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:04 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 06:51 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:47 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 09:32 | DAL | Goal |
| 4 | 01:09 | NYR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 7.0
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 3 - 2 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.5 - 3.5