Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-12-02 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks (SO)

Win Probability

VGK: 70.4%

CHI: 29.6%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.60

CHI: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	VGK 4 - 0 CHI	VGK	VGK
2026-01-04	CHI 3 - 2 VGK	CHI	VGK
2025-12-02	VGK 4 - 3 CHI	VGK	VGK
2025-03-28	CHI 3 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-02-27	VGK 7 - 5 CHI	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	9	0	0.37
1	CHI	16	1	0.97
2	VGK	15	0	1.24
2	CHI	13	0	0.72
3	VGK	15	1	0.61
3	CHI	10	0	0.93
4	VGK	2	0	0.28
4	CHI	8	0	0.68
5	VGK	4	2	1.97
5	CHI	4	1	1.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.6 - 2.8