Washington Capitals at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2025-12-02 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 3 Washington Capitals
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 60.4%
WSH: 39.6%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.37
WSH: 3.08
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 73%
Over 6.5: 56%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | LAK | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.833 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.918 | 0.960 |
| GAA | 2.27 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs WSH: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-02 | LAK 1 - 3 WSH | WSH | LAK |
| 2025-11-17 | WSH 2 - 1 LAK | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-03-13 | LAK 3 - 0 WSH | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-12-22 | WSH 3 - 1 LAK | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-01-07 | WSH 4 - 3 LAK | WSH | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:50 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 05:28 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 01:18 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 18:18 | WSH | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 3 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.4 - 3.1
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