Dallas Stars at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2025-12-03 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 0 - 3 Dallas Stars
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 61.9%
DAL: 38.1%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.07
DAL: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 5.2
Over 5.5: 48%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | NJD | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.873 | 0.916 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.893 | 0.895 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NJD at home vs DAL: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | DAL 4 - 6 NJD | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-12-03 | NJD 0 - 3 DAL | DAL | NJD |
| 2025-03-04 | DAL 4 - 3 NJD | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-02-22 | NJD 2 - 4 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-03-14 | DAL 2 - 6 NJD | NJD | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 11:34 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 17:36 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 07:05 | DAL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 0 - 3 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0
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