Buffalo Sabres at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-12-03 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

PHI: 50.5%

BUF: 49.5%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.50

BUF: 3.34

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs BUF: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-14	BUF 5 - 2 PHI	BUF	BUF
2025-12-18	BUF 5 - 3 PHI	BUF	BUF
2025-12-03	PHI 5 - 2 BUF	PHI	PHI
2025-04-17	BUF 5 - 4 PHI	BUF	BUF
2025-03-29	PHI 7 - 4 BUF	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	19	0	1.28
1	BUF	7	1	1.04
2	PHI	13	5	2.13
2	BUF	23	0	1.64
3	PHI	15	4	1.85
3	BUF	19	1	1.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.5 - 3.3