Washington Capitals at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2025-12-03 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 1 - 7 Washington Capitals
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 55.1%
WSH: 44.9%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.26
WSH: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
| Stat | SJS | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.874 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.667 | 0.885 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • SJS at home vs WSH: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | WSH 2 - 3 SJS | SJS | WSH |
| 2025-12-03 | SJS 1 - 7 WSH | WSH | SJS |
| 2025-03-15 | SJS 1 - 5 WSH | WSH | SJS |
| 2024-12-03 | WSH 1 - 2 SJS | SJS | WSH |
| 2023-11-27 | SJS 2 - 1 WSH | SJS | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:07 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 13:35 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 10:05 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 08:25 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 19:34 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 02:41 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 12:58 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 01:03 | WSH | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 1 - 7 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.3 - 3.0