Washington Capitals at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-12-03 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 1 - 7 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

SJS: 45.8%

WSH: 54.2%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.13

WSH: 3.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs WSH: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	WSH 2 - 3 SJS	SJS	WSH
2025-12-03	SJS 1 - 7 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-03-15	SJS 1 - 5 WSH	WSH	WSH
2024-12-03	WSH 1 - 2 SJS	SJS	WSH
2023-11-27	SJS 2 - 1 WSH	SJS	SJS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	18	0	1.10
1	WSH	15	2	1.48
2	SJS	11	0	0.46
2	WSH	18	0	0.88
3	SJS	10	0	0.83
3	WSH	8	0	0.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 1 - 7 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.1 - 3.5