St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-12-04 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 5 - 2 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 59.8%
STL: 40.2%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.65
STL: 2.76
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | BOS | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.869 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.889 | 0.826 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.923 | 0.815 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 3.56 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • BOS at home vs STL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | STL 2 - 5 BOS | BOS | STL |
| 2025-12-04 | BOS 5 - 2 STL | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-11-16 | BOS 2 - 3 STL | STL | BOS |
| 2024-11-12 | STL 2 - 3 BOS | BOS | STL |
| 2024-03-11 | BOS 1 - 5 STL | STL | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:30 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 11:25 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 01:59 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 06:04 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 12:26 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 19:59 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 09:07 | BOS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 5 - 2 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.6 - 2.8