Colorado Avalanche at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-12-04 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 6 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

NYI: 59.0%

COL: 41.0%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.21

COL: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs COL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-04	NYI 6 - 3 COL	NYI	NYI
2025-11-16	COL 4 - 1 NYI	COL	COL
2025-01-28	NYI 5 - 2 COL	NYI	COL
2024-10-14	COL 2 - 6 NYI	NYI	COL
2024-01-02	COL 5 - 4 NYI	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	20	1	1.45
1	COL	23	1	1.42
2	NYI	21	2	1.76
2	COL	10	0	0.72
3	NYI	11	1	1.22
3	COL	20	0	0.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 6 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9