Colorado Avalanche at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-12-04 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 6 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (66% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 33.9%

COL: 66.1%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.87

COL: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 39%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs COL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-04	NYI 6 - 3 COL	NYI	COL
2025-11-16	COL 4 - 1 NYI	COL	COL
2025-01-28	NYI 5 - 2 COL	NYI	NYI
2024-10-14	COL 2 - 6 NYI	NYI	COL
2024-01-02	COL 5 - 4 NYI	COL	COL

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	05:56	NYI	Goal
1	18:20	NYI	Goal
2	06:58	NYI	Goal
2	07:59	NYI	Goal
2	08:39	NYI	Goal
2	10:04	NYI	Goal
2	18:46	NYI	Goal
3	01:27	NYI	Goal
3	18:45	NYI	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 6 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2