Toronto Maple Leafs at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-12-04 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 5 Toronto Maple Leafs

🚨 Upset Loss (78% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 78.3%

TOR: 21.7%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.36

TOR: 2.49

Total Goals

Median: 8.4

Over 5.5: 83%

Over 6.5: 74%

CAR

Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs TOR: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-20	TOR 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-04	CAR 1 - 5 TOR	TOR	CAR
2025-11-09	TOR 4 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-13	CAR 1 - 4 TOR	TOR	CAR
2025-02-22	TOR 6 - 3 CAR	TOR	CAR

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	00:53	TOR	Goal
1	11:45	TOR	Goal
1	15:45	TOR	Goal
2	04:44	TOR	Goal
2	10:39	TOR	Goal
3	18:16	TOR	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 78.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 5 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 4.4 - 2.5