Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-12-04 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 4 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

CGY: 54.0%

MIN: 46.0%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.02

MIN: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • CGY at home vs MIN: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	MIN 4 - 1 CGY	MIN	MIN
2025-12-04	CGY 4 - 1 MIN	CGY	CGY
2025-11-09	MIN 2 - 0 CGY	MIN	MIN
2025-04-11	CGY 4 - 2 MIN	CGY	MIN
2025-01-25	MIN 4 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	11	0	0.52
1	MIN	19	0	1.53
2	CGY	18	2	1.56
2	MIN	9	1	0.82
3	CGY	15	1	1.77
3	MIN	14	0	0.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 4 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2