Buffalo Sabres at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-12-05 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 4 - 1 Buffalo Sabres
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 51.4%
BUF: 48.6%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.32
BUF: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | WPG | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.867 | 0.847 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs BUF: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 | WPG 4 - 1 BUF | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-12-01 | BUF 5 - 1 WPG | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-03-23 | WPG 3 - 5 BUF | BUF | WPG |
| 2024-12-05 | BUF 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-03-03 | BUF 2 - 5 WPG | WPG | BUF |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:24 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 14:44 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 02:22 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 18:42 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 19:26 | WPG | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 4 - 1 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.3 - 3.0
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