San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2025-12-05 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 4 - 1 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 71.4%
SJS: 28.6%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.68
SJS: 2.69
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
| Stat | DAL | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.926 | 0.870 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • DAL at home vs SJS: 4-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | SJS 5 - 4 DAL | SJS | DAL |
| 2025-12-18 | SJS 3 - 5 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-12-05 | DAL 4 - 1 SJS | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-02-08 | SJS 3 - 8 DAL | DAL | SJS |
| 2024-11-20 | DAL 5 - 2 SJS | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:20 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 08:23 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 10:56 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:39 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 17:41 | DAL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 71.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 4 - 1 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.7 - 2.7
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