Colorado Avalanche at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2025-12-06 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 2 - 3 Colorado Avalanche (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 43.2%
COL: 56.8%
Expected Goals
NYR: 2.79
COL: 3.26
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 41%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs COL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | NYR 2 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-11-20 | COL 6 - 3 NYR | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-26 | NYR 4 - 5 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-14 | COL 3 - 2 NYR | COL | COL |
| 2024-03-28 | COL 2 - 3 NYR | NYR | COL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYR | 15 | 1 | 0.69 |
| 1 | COL | 12 | 0 | 0.73 |
| 2 | NYR | 14 | 1 | 0.55 |
| 2 | COL | 16 | 1 | 1.06 |
| 3 | NYR | 15 | 0 | 0.72 |
| 3 | COL | 21 | 1 | 1.89 |
| 4 | NYR | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 4 | COL | 3 | 0 | 0.21 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 2 - 3 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.8 - 3.3
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