Nashville Predators at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-12-06 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 3 Nashville Predators

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CAR: 72.9%

NSH: 27.1%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.84

NSH: 2.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CAR

Brandon Bussi - 13-2-1 | 0.901 SV% | 2.33 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Stat	CAR	NSH
Season SV%	0.901	0.897
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.33	2.93

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Brandon Bussi	22	19	3	86.4%	2.03	0	-0.97
NSH	Juuse Saros	40	34	6	85.0%	4.96	4	-1.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs NSH: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-17	NSH 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-06	CAR 6 - 3 NSH	CAR	CAR
2025-03-25	CAR 1 - 3 NSH	NSH	CAR
2024-12-23	NSH 5 - 2 CAR	NSH	CAR
2023-12-27	NSH 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	21	2	2.62
1	NSH	5	0	0.35
2	CAR	20	2	1.76
2	NSH	14	0	0.66
3	CAR	11	0	0.58
3	NSH	19	0	1.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown