Utah Hockey Club at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2025-12-06 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 2 - 0 Utah Hockey Club
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 57.6%
UTA: 42.4%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.29
UTA: 3.32
Total Goals
Median: 7.6
Over 5.5: 77%
Over 6.5: 65%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | CGY | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.878 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.982 | 0.950 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CGY at home vs UTA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | CGY 4 - 1 UTA | CGY | UTA |
| 2025-12-06 | CGY 2 - 0 UTA | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-10-15 | UTA 3 - 1 CGY | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-04-01 | UTA 3 - 1 CGY | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-01-02 | CGY 3 - 5 UTA | UTA | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:16 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 17:46 | CGY | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 2.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 2 - 0 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.3 - 3.3
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