Pittsburgh Penguins at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2025-12-07 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 58.6%
PIT: 41.4%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.01
PIT: 3.64
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | DAL | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.931 | 0.800 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • DAL at home vs PIT: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | DAL 3 - 2 PIT | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-04-05 | DAL 3 - 5 PIT | PIT | DAL |
| 2024-11-11 | PIT 1 - 7 DAL | DAL | PIT |
| 2024-03-22 | DAL 4 - 2 PIT | DAL | DAL |
| 2023-10-24 | PIT 1 - 4 DAL | DAL | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:18 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 01:27 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 05:56 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 18:11 | DAL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | DAL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.0 - 3.6