Vegas Golden Knights at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2025-12-07 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 55.9%
VGK: 44.1%
Expected Goals
NYR: 2.70
VGK: 3.03
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | NYR | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.885 | 0.895 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs VGK: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | NYR 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | NYR |
| 2025-11-18 | VGK 3 - 2 NYR | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-02-02 | NYR 4 - 2 VGK | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-01-11 | VGK 1 - 2 NYR | NYR | VGK |
| 2024-01-26 | NYR 2 - 5 VGK | VGK | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:36 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 13:01 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 09:08 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:08 | NYR | Goal |
| 4 | 04:52 | VGK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 2.7 - 3.0