Vegas Golden Knights at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-12-07 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights (OT)

Win Probability

NYR: 41.6%

VGK: 58.4%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.19

VGK: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs VGK: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-07	NYR 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-11-18	VGK 3 - 2 NYR	VGK	VGK
2025-02-02	NYR 4 - 2 VGK	NYR	VGK
2025-01-11	VGK 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	VGK
2024-01-26	NYR 2 - 5 VGK	VGK	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	9	0	0.31
1	VGK	17	0	0.74
2	NYR	20	1	1.77
2	VGK	7	0	0.40
3	NYR	4	0	0.17
3	VGK	21	1	1.45
4	NYR	2	0	0.07
4	VGK	2	1	0.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1