Anaheim Ducks at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2025-12-09 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks (SO)

Win Probability

PIT: 48.1%

ANA: 51.9%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.46

ANA: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs ANA: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-09	PIT 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-10-14	ANA 4 - 3 PIT	ANA	ANA
2025-01-23	ANA 5 - 1 PIT	ANA	PIT
2024-10-31	PIT 2 - 1 ANA	PIT	PIT
2023-11-07	ANA 0 - 2 PIT	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	24	2	1.99
1	ANA	12	0	0.42
2	PIT	19	1	1.25
2	ANA	11	0	0.69
3	PIT	19	2	1.86
3	ANA	13	1	1.44
4	PIT	10	0	1.02
4	ANA	2	0	0.21
5	PIT	3	0	0.21
5	ANA	2	1	0.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0