Columbus Blue Jackets at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-12-09 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CAR: 75.2%

CBJ: 24.8%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.18

CBJ: 2.34

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CAR

Brandon Bussi - 13-2-1 | 0.901 SV% | 2.33 GAA

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

Stat	CAR	CBJ
Season SV%	0.901	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.33	2.62

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Brandon Bussi	24	23	1	95.8%	2.82	1	1.82
CBJ	Jet Greaves	32	28	4	87.5%	4.88	6	0.88

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • CAR at home vs CBJ: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	CAR 5 - 1 CBJ	CAR	CAR
2026-03-31	CBJ 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CBJ
2026-03-17	CBJ 5 - 1 CAR	CBJ	CAR
2025-12-09	CAR 4 - 1 CBJ	CAR	CAR
2025-01-23	CAR 7 - 4 CBJ	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	18	3	1.68
1	CBJ	9	0	0.67
2	CAR	22	1	1.44
2	CBJ	13	1	1.17
3	CAR	17	2	1.76
3	CBJ	13	0	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 75.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown