Boston Bruins at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-12-09 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 2 - 5 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 56.3%
BOS: 43.7%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.77
BOS: 2.71
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 44%
Over 6.5: 32%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | STL | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.889 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.815 | 0.923 |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • STL at home vs BOS: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | STL 2 - 5 BOS | BOS | STL |
| 2025-12-04 | BOS 5 - 2 STL | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-11-16 | BOS 2 - 3 STL | STL | BOS |
| 2024-11-12 | STL 2 - 3 BOS | BOS | STL |
| 2024-03-11 | BOS 1 - 5 STL | STL | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:27 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 14:34 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 12:48 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:19 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 11:33 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 08:01 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 04:51 | STL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 2 - 5 Boston Bruins
Expected: 2.8 - 2.7