Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2025-12-09 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 4 - 3 Colorado Avalanche (SO)
🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 43.8%
COL: 56.2%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.17
COL: 3.47
Total Goals
Median: 7.4
Over 5.5: 75%
Over 6.5: 64%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 28-21-8 | 0.894 SV% | 3.13 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
| Stat | NSH | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.884 | 0.951 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.936 | 0.917 |
| GAA | 2.93 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NSH at home vs COL: 5-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | COL 3 - 7 NSH | NSH | COL |
| 2025-12-13 | COL 4 - 2 NSH | COL | COL |
| 2025-12-09 | NSH 4 - 3 COL | NSH | COL |
| 2025-11-22 | NSH 0 - 3 COL | COL | NSH |
| 2025-02-22 | NSH 2 - 1 COL | NSH | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:12 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 04:05 | NSH | Goal |
| 1 | 05:30 | NSH | Goal |
| 1 | 10:21 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 12:58 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 19:52 | NSH | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | NSH | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 4 - 3 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.2 - 3.5
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