TOR vs SJS - 2025-12-11
2025-12-11 • Scotiabank Arena
TOR 2 - 3 SJS
🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 68.8%
SJS: 31.2%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.20
SJS: 2.32
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 32%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 11-4-2 | 0.918 SV% | 2.54 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 16-11-1 | 0.890 SV% | 3.54 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:33 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 14:32 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 15:31 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:35 | TOR | Goal |
| 4 | 02:49 | SJS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
TOR 2 - 3 SJS
Expected: 3.2 - 2.3