Tampa Bay Lightning at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-12-11 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 8 Tampa Bay Lightning

Win Probability

NJD: 45.5%

TBL: 54.5%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.05

TBL: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 42%

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NJD at home vs TBL: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-11	NJD 4 - 8 TBL	TBL	TBL
2025-11-18	TBL 5 - 1 NJD	TBL	TBL
2025-10-11	TBL 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	TBL
2025-01-11	NJD 3 - 2 TBL	NJD	NJD
2024-11-16	TBL 4 - 0 NJD	TBL	NJD

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	02:57	TBL	Goal
1	03:48	TBL	Goal
1	07:00	TBL	Goal
1	07:56	TBL	Goal
1	15:00	TBL	Goal
2	06:19	TBL	Goal
2	13:12	TBL	Goal
2	16:35	TBL	Goal
3	03:13	TBL	Goal
3	07:55	TBL	Goal
3	15:28	TBL	Goal
3	15:57	TBL	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 8 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0