Anaheim Ducks at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2025-12-11 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 5 - 2 Anaheim Ducks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 56.3%
ANA: 43.7%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.01
ANA: 2.88
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
| Stat | NYI | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.55 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYI at home vs ANA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 | NYI 5 - 2 ANA | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-03-09 | ANA 4 - 1 NYI | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-10-29 | NYI 1 - 3 ANA | ANA | NYI |
| 2024-03-10 | ANA 1 - 6 NYI | NYI | ANA |
| 2023-12-13 | NYI 4 - 3 ANA | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:06 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 10:16 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 08:18 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 05:34 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 14:46 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 06:06 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 02:37 | NYI | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 5 - 2 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9