PIT vs MTL - 2025-12-11
2025-12-11 • PPG Paints Arena
PIT 2 - 4 MTL
🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 68.8%
MTL: 31.2%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.35
MTL: 2.57
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 14-12-4 | 0.893 SV% | 2.71 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 14-5-3 | 0.888 SV% | 3.01 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:54 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 04:37 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 10:18 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 00:44 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 00:59 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 15:07 | MTL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
PIT 2 - 4 MTL
Expected: 3.4 - 2.6