Ottawa Senators at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2025-12-11 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 6 Ottawa Senators
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 57.9%
OTT: 42.1%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 3.27
OTT: 2.82
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 18-12-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.62 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.928 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.938 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 2.62 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CBJ at home vs OTT: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 | CBJ 1 - 4 OTT | OTT | CBJ |
| 2025-12-29 | OTT 1 - 4 CBJ | CBJ | OTT |
| 2025-12-11 | CBJ 3 - 6 OTT | OTT | CBJ |
| 2025-04-08 | CBJ 5 - 2 OTT | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-04-06 | OTT 4 - 0 CBJ | OTT | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:26 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 18:04 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 14:55 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 08:11 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 06:58 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 17:59 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 08:10 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 03:02 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 18:37 | OTT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 6 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.3 - 2.8