St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2025-12-11 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 7 - 2 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 46.2%
STL: 53.8%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.07
STL: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 28-21-8 | 0.894 SV% | 3.13 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | NSH | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.884 | 0.917 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.865 | 0.859 |
| GAA | 2.93 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • NSH at home vs STL: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | NSH 6 - 5 STL | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-12-27 | STL 3 - 2 NSH | STL | STL |
| 2025-12-15 | STL 2 - 5 NSH | NSH | STL |
| 2025-12-11 | NSH 7 - 2 STL | NSH | STL |
| 2025-03-27 | NSH 2 - 3 STL | STL | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:22 | NSH | Goal |
| 1 | 11:19 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 04:17 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 08:38 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 11:43 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 12:06 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 13:56 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 15:33 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 07:36 | NSH | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 7 - 2 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0
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