Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-12-11 • Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild 5 - 2 Dallas Stars
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 53.4%
DAL: 46.6%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.29
DAL: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 53%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | MIN | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.916 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.879 | 0.915 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • MIN at home vs DAL: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | DAL 5 - 4 MIN | DAL | DAL |
| 2026-03-21 | MIN 2 - 1 DAL | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-12-11 | MIN 5 - 2 DAL | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-10-14 | DAL 5 - 2 MIN | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-04-06 | MIN 3 - 2 DAL | MIN | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:32 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 16:10 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 10:19 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 17:30 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 08:40 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 18:29 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 19:10 | MIN | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 5 - 2 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.3 - 3.0
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.