Boston Bruins at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-12-11 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 6 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 52.7%

BOS: 47.3%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.24

BOS: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs BOS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	BOS 6 - 1 WPG	BOS	WPG
2025-12-11	WPG 3 - 6 BOS	BOS	WPG
2025-01-30	BOS 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-12-10	WPG 8 - 1 BOS	WPG	WPG
2024-01-22	BOS 4 - 1 WPG	BOS	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	16	2	1.32
1	BOS	11	0	0.79
2	WPG	15	2	1.11
2	BOS	11	0	0.77
3	WPG	10	0	0.49
3	BOS	13	2	1.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 6 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9