Florida Panthers at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-12-11 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 2 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

COL: 74.2%

FLA: 25.8%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.84

FLA: 2.69

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • COL at home vs FLA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-04	FLA 2 - 1 COL	FLA	FLA
2025-12-11	COL 6 - 2 FLA	COL	COL
2025-01-06	COL 3 - 1 FLA	COL	COL
2024-11-23	FLA 4 - 7 COL	COL	COL
2024-02-10	FLA 4 - 0 COL	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	25	2	1.71
1	FLA	16	0	0.70
2	COL	21	0	1.59
2	FLA	9	0	0.39
3	COL	11	2	1.27
3	FLA	9	1	0.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 2 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.8 - 2.7