Florida Panthers at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-12-11 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 6 - 2 Florida Panthers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 72.6%
FLA: 27.4%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.58
FLA: 2.48
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | COL | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.951 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.920 | — |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • COL at home vs FLA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | FLA 2 - 1 COL | FLA | COL |
| 2025-12-11 | COL 6 - 2 FLA | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-06 | COL 3 - 1 FLA | COL | COL |
| 2024-11-23 | FLA 4 - 7 COL | COL | COL |
| 2024-02-10 | FLA 4 - 0 COL | FLA | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:14 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 07:21 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 18:30 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 05:05 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 07:18 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 12:31 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 06:18 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 13:08 | COL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 72.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 6 - 2 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.6 - 2.5
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