🏒 NHLForecasts.com
Data-Driven NHL Predictions & Analytics
2025-26 Season Live
📊 Daily Predictions 📈 Model Performance 🏆 Stanley Cup Odds ⚡ Live Win Probability

Detroit Red Wings at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-12-11 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
EDM: 55.0%
DET: 45.0%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.34
DET: 2.76
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 41%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
StatEDMDET
Season SV%0.9060.893
Last 5 SV%0.8370.862
SV% vs Opponent—0.889
GAA2.732.97
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • EDM at home vs DET: 2-1
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2025-12-11EDM 4 - 1 DETEDMEDM
2025-10-19DET 4 - 2 EDMDETDET
2025-01-30EDM 2 - 3 DETDETEDM
2024-10-27DET 2 - 3 EDMEDMEDM
2024-02-13EDM 8 - 4 DETEDMEDM

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
114:25EDMGoal
202:46EDMGoal
205:41EDMGoal
217:48EDMGoal
318:43EDMGoal

🎯 Shot Chart

Shot chart for Detroit Red Wings at Edmonton Oilers

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.3 - 2.8