Detroit Red Wings at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-12-11 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

EDM: 72.6%

DET: 27.4%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.40

DET: 2.56

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • EDM at home vs DET: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-11	EDM 4 - 1 DET	EDM	EDM
2025-10-19	DET 4 - 2 EDM	DET	DET
2025-01-30	EDM 2 - 3 DET	DET	EDM
2024-10-27	DET 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-02-13	EDM 8 - 4 DET	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	10	0	0.76
1	DET	18	0	1.13
2	EDM	18	2	1.21
2	DET	15	1	1.74
3	EDM	13	2	1.97
3	DET	17	0	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.4 - 2.6