Detroit Red Wings at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-12-11 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 59.6%
DET: 40.4%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.11
DET: 3.20
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | EDM | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.889 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • EDM at home vs DET: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 | EDM 4 - 1 DET | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-10-19 | DET 4 - 2 EDM | DET | DET |
| 2025-01-30 | EDM 2 - 3 DET | DET | EDM |
| 2024-10-27 | DET 2 - 3 EDM | EDM | DET |
| 2024-02-13 | EDM 8 - 4 DET | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:25 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 02:46 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 05:41 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 17:48 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 18:43 | EDM | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.1 - 3.2