Buffalo Sabres at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-12-11 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

VAN: 49.2%

BUF: 50.8%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.08

BUF: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VAN at home vs BUF: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-06	BUF 5 - 3 VAN	BUF	BUF
2025-12-11	VAN 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-01-21	VAN 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	VAN
2024-11-29	BUF 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	BUF
2024-03-19	VAN 3 - 2 BUF	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	23	0	0.73
1	BUF	11	0	0.56
2	VAN	13	1	0.93
2	BUF	13	0	0.85
3	VAN	20	2	1.76
3	BUF	4	0	0.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1