Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-12-12 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

STL: 56.5%

CHI: 43.5%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.61

CHI: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

Stat	STL	CHI
Season SV%	0.901	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.87	2.63

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Joel Hofer	29	27	2	93.1%	1.86	2	-0.14
CHI	Spencer Knight	26	23	3	88.5%	2.43	0	-0.57

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • STL at home vs CHI: 8-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-06	CHI 4 - 2 STL	CHI	STL
2026-04-11	CHI 3 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2026-01-07	CHI 7 - 3 STL	CHI	STL
2025-12-12	STL 3 - 2 CHI	STL	STL
2025-10-15	STL 3 - 8 CHI	CHI	STL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	16	0	1.20
1	CHI	10	0	0.39
2	STL	12	0	0.71
2	CHI	13	1	0.70
3	STL	12	0	0.53
3	CHI	16	1	0.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown