Ottawa Senators at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-12-13 • Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Ottawa Senators
🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 46.0%
OTT: 54.0%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.23
OTT: 3.00
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | MIN | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.826 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • MIN at home vs OTT: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | OTT 1 - 4 MIN | MIN | OTT |
| 2025-12-13 | MIN 3 - 2 OTT | MIN | OTT |
| 2025-02-01 | OTT 6 - 0 MIN | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-12-29 | MIN 1 - 3 OTT | OTT | MIN |
| 2024-04-02 | MIN 3 - 2 OTT | MIN | OTT |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0
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