San Jose Sharks at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2025-12-13 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 6 San Jose Sharks (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

Win Probability

PIT: 63.3%

SJS: 36.7%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.60

SJS: 2.55

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

PIT

Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs SJS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	PIT 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	PIT
2025-10-18	SJS 0 - 3 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-01-27	SJS 2 - 1 PIT	SJS	PIT
2024-11-16	PIT 4 - 3 SJS	PIT	PIT
2024-03-14	PIT 6 - 3 SJS	PIT	PIT

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	10:27	SJS	Goal
1	12:41	PIT	Goal
2	00:19	PIT	Goal
2	09:42	PIT	Goal
2	19:53	PIT	Goal
3	05:25	PIT	Goal
3	07:33	PIT	Goal
3	14:19	PIT	Goal
3	17:33	PIT	Goal
3	18:22	PIT	Goal
4	02:57	SJS	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 63.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 6 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.6 - 2.6