PIT vs SJS - 2025-12-13
2025-12-13 • PPG Paints Arena
PIT 5 - 6 SJS
🚨 Upset Loss (87% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 86.7%
SJS: 13.3%
Expected Goals
PIT: 4.11
SJS: 2.73
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 57%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 14-12-4 | 0.893 SV% | 2.71 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 16-11-1 | 0.890 SV% | 3.54 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:27 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 12:41 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 00:19 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 09:42 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 19:53 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 05:25 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 07:33 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 14:19 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 17:33 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 18:22 | PIT | Goal |
| 4 | 02:57 | SJS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 86.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
PIT 5 - 6 SJS
Expected: 4.1 - 2.7